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Divisional Analysis
By: Kevin Milsted
webmaster@mocorunning.com
2007-10-01


Boys Predictions
Clarksburg over Einstein
Clarksburg over Paint Branch
Paint Branch over Einstein
Walter Johnson over R. Montgomery
Watkins Mill over Kennedy
Poolesville over Wheaton
Rockville over Wheaton
Poolesville over Rockville
Damascus over Magruder
B-CC over Blair
Springbrook over Seneca Valley
Girls Predictions
Clarksburg over Einstein
Clarksburg over Paint Branch
Paint Branch over Einstein
R. Montgomery over Walter Johnson
No Score
Poolesville over Wheaton
Rockville over Wheaton
Poolesville over Rockville
Damascus over Magruder
Blair over B-CC
Springbrook over Seneca Valley


Division I

Division I wraps up with Walter Johnson hosting Richard Montgomery. At this late point in the season, this match up is relatively uneventful with no divisional implications. Walter Johnson boys and Richard Montgomery girls should win with ease.

Division II

In division II, both the boys’ and the girls’ champions are done with dual meets while the four other teams in the division wrap things up this week. Both the boys and girls from Damascus are on the rise while Magruder has struggled for the early part of the season. They will try to get back on track at their new home course.

Blair athletes will get a chance to run some fast times on B-CC’s home course. B-CC comes off a big win at Bull Run, indicating that this will probably be a mismatch on the boys’ side. On the girls’ side, however, Blair comes off a divisional win over Magruder and could use that momentum to take down the B-CC girls who finished 112 points behind Magruder at Bull Run.

Division III

Division III is where the action is at this week. The scheduling could not have worked out better for Clarksburg, Einstein, and Paint Branch who each enter tomorrow’s tri meet with 3 wins and no losses for both genders. On the boys’ side, Sebi Devlin-Foltz and Alex Bodaken from Einstein are expected to lead the race while Ramon Munoz and Michael Leaman from Clarksburg and Nicholas Schmedding from Paint Branch try to keep up. The outcome of the race will not be determined by these five athletes, however, but rather by whose team is the deepest. Though Einstein might take the top two spots, they might not have anyone else within 3 minutes of those two. I expect Paint Branch and Clarksburg to pack it in ahead of Einstein’s 3rd and 4th runners to deal Einstein two losses. With Clarksburg stronger than Paint Branch up front and the potential to put all of their runners under 20:00, I predict Clarksburg to win the division, but it’s close.

On the girls’ side of this undefeated matchup, Einstein also appears to be without any depth to challenge the other two teams. Between Paint Branch and Clarksburg, the two teams seem very similar just by comparing the few races that they’ve run. If I had to pick, I’d go with Clarksburg for putting more girls consistently under 25:00, but this one could be very close as well.

Division IV

Undefeated Watkins Mill will hosts Kennedy (2-2) in hopes of winning the division IV crown. This one is not a given for WM after Northwood gave them a scare last week at home, but top to bottom, WM seems a little stronger than JFK.

At long last, there will be a real scored girls’ dual meet in division IV. Rockville and Poolesville are both 3-0, but have only won forfeits due to lack of participation. Poolesville was respectable at Bull Run while the Rockville girls, strangely, were a no-show. Assuming Rockville still has a full squad ready to go, Poolesville should still be too much for them to handle after getting 5 girls at 26:06 or better on the hills of Hereford.






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