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Can't wait to see the results for the Montgomery County Championship race? Here are some predictions generated by a mathematical model of the runners in the county. This model is 3 years in the making and factors in roughly 70 races each for the boys and girls. To read more about the mathematical system, go here.
Now folks, I know that I am trying to do the impossible by ranking so many runners and predicting their times and I know that it doesn't make much sense in some places, but it is a pretty cool idea so take it for what it is. I hope that is does generate some discussion in the forum.
| Gay, Morgane |
Whitman |
19:08.4 |
| Eckerstrom, Emma |
Northwest |
19:10.4 |
| Harrison, Cara |
Quince Orchard |
19:17.1 |
| Sinclair, Halsey |
Blair |
19:20.7 |
| Hannallah, Louise |
Winston Churchill |
19:20.7 |
| Sinclair, Ashlyn |
Blair |
19:50.4 |
| Aherne, Kathy |
Northwest |
19:52.2 |
| Salcido, Veronica |
Wootton |
20:05.6 |
| Stinner, Becca |
Northwest |
20:08.3 |
| Isen, Debbie |
Whitman |
20:15.1 |
| Alberico, Stephanie |
Walter Johnson |
20:22.5 |
| Moores, Aimee |
Quince Orchard |
20:44.4 |
| Weiss, Tara |
Gaithersburg |
20:46.7 |
| Abby Spitler |
Gaithersburg |
20:50.0 |
| McCary, Laura |
Magruder |
21:03.6 |
| Moore, Alana |
Richard Montgomery |
21:06.2 |
| Britton, Sarah |
Richard Montgomery |
21:06.9 |
| Fikri, Maryam |
Churchill |
21:09.5 |
| Jennifer Spencer |
Walter Johnson |
21:10.0 |
| Duncan, Violeta |
Quince Orchard |
21:10.5 |
| Berge, Masha |
Winston Churchill |
21:12.6 |
| Colbert, Taylor |
Damascus |
21:13.5 |
| Delizo, Monica |
Richard Montgomery |
21:13.9 |
| Whalen, Courtney |
Magruder |
21:22.7 |
| Liu, Luyang |
Richard Montgomery |
21:27.4 |
| McManus, Erin |
Winston Churchill |
21:29.4 |
| Griffin, Catherine |
Whitman |
21:44.9 |
| Nguyen, Melinda |
Northwest |
21:45.4 |
| Howcroft, Elizabeth |
Walter Johnson |
21:47.3 |
| Tousley, Addie |
BCC |
21:47.7 |
| Rodezno, Eva |
Richard Montgomery |
21:48.2 |
| Melnick, Nicole |
Winston Churchill |
21:50.3 |
| Do, Anh-Chi |
Quince Orchard |
21:52.0 |
| Machado, Iona |
Wootton. |
22:01 |
| Heilman, Maryana |
Churchill |
22:02.1 |
| Bell, Hillary |
Northwest |
22:07.2 |
| Joson, Stephanie |
Quince Orchard |
22:09.6 |
| Zhang, Mary |
Wootton |
22:10.0 |
| Morrow, Audrey |
Quince Orchard |
22:12.2 |
| Dunn, Meghan |
Sherwood |
22:13.0 |
| Henshaw, Alyssa |
Northwest |
22:15.3 |
| Shannahan, Sarah |
Whitman |
22:18.0 |
| Golan, Maureen |
Whitman |
22:20.6 |
| Garcia-Riege, Berna |
Walter Johnson |
22:22.5 |
| Gretshel, Johanna |
Blair |
22:22.5 |
| Ayorinle, Owoade |
Churchill |
22:24.7 |
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| Chris Moen |
Walter Johnson |
16:12.5 |
| William Palmer |
Whitman |
16:19.5 |
| Chris Barnard |
Sherwood |
16:21.0 |
| Kyle Gaffney |
Blake |
16:23.5 |
| Chris Bowie |
B-CC |
16:26.7 |
| Elias Tousley |
B-CC |
16:28.0 |
| Tommy Mullings |
Sherwood |
16:40.1 |
| Greg Bove |
Quince Orchard |
16:46.7 |
| Wil Zahorodny |
Damascus |
16:47.5 |
| David Laratta |
Quince Orchard |
16:48.7 |
| Brian Marshall |
SenecaValley |
16:56.3 |
| Brian Sickles |
Richard Montgomery |
16:57.7 |
| Sam Epstein |
Whitman |
16:59.8 |
| Neal Darmody |
Quince Orchard |
17:03.9 |
| Andrew Palmer |
Whitman |
17:06.9 |
| Artem Panasenkov |
Quince Orchard |
17:08.0 |
| Jordan Sawadogo |
Springbrook |
17:09.6 |
| Chris Boyd |
Wootton |
17:11.5 |
| Sam Boimov |
Gaithersburg |
17:13.6 |
| Russel Speiden |
Sherwood |
17:14.1 |
| Yared Tarekgean |
Sherwood |
17:16.1 |
| Alex Rosenberg |
Quince Orchard |
17:16.5 |
| Alec Triantos |
Magruder |
17:17.1 |
| Josh Joson |
Quince Orchard |
17:17.5 |
| Mickey Stepek |
Gaithersburg |
17:23.4 |
| Ben Hoyt |
Richard Montgomery |
17:25.2 |
| Jared Schneider |
Walter Johnson |
17:28.6 |
| Reagan Lynch |
Quince Orchard |
17:30.4 |
| Emilio Galis |
Magruder |
17:30.5 |
| Mike Limongelli |
Gaithersburg |
17:30.8 |
| David D'Alessio |
Northwest |
17:33.6 |
| Nathan Terhaar |
Richard Montgomery |
17:35.0 |
| Robbie Linnoila |
Churchill |
17:35.4 |
| Michael Gardner |
Watkins Mill |
17:36.8 |
| Austin Keech |
Poolesville |
17:38.1 |
| Mike Migdall |
Quince Orchard |
17:40.0 |
| Vikas Bhatia |
Gaithersburg |
17:40.3 |
| Paul Riggio |
Gaithersburg |
17:41.2 |
| Travis Kroeker |
Richard Montgomery |
17:41.4 |
| Dan Miller |
Whitman |
17:44.5 |
| Luke Reding |
Gaithersburg |
17:45.0 |
| Managi Biggers |
Northwest |
17:48.8 |
| Dylan Straughan |
B-CC |
17:51.2 |
| Sean King |
Churchill |
17:53.6 |
| Brandt Silver-Korn |
Whitman |
17:55.1 |
| Ramon Munoz |
Clarksburg |
17:55.1 |
| Ryan Priovolos |
Quince Orchard |
17:55.9 |
| Tom Hoyt |
Richard Montgomery |
18:00.8 |
| William Orndorff |
Rockville |
18:01.1 |
| Dan Nowakowski |
Whitman |
18:01.2 |
| Ian Chasler |
Magruder |
18:02.1 |
| Roni Teich |
Walter Johnson |
18:02.3 |
| Bryan Baude |
Damascus |
18:02.5 |
| Rafi Moersen |
Walter Johnson |
18:02.6 |
| Greg Domico |
Damascus |
18:02.9 |
| Mike Leaman |
Clarksburg |
18:03.3 |
| Emanuel Waktola |
Blair |
18:04.0 |
| Alex Prevost |
B-CC |
18:08.3 |
| Sharif Kronemer |
Springbrook |
18:10.7 |
| Kenneth Siu |
Wootton |
18:10.8 |
| Jeremy Lent |
Sherwood |
18:12.6 |
| Jacob Lowe |
Sherwood |
18:12.9 |
| Anthony Popiel |
Walter Johnson |
18:13.5 |
| Adam Gaynor |
WatkinsMill |
18:14.6 |
| Ben Simon |
Churchill |
18:15.5 |
| Chad Hoggle |
Northwest |
18:16.1 |
| Evan Whetsell |
Churchill |
18:17.3 |
| Brennan Keagan |
Poolesville |
18:17.4 |
| Seba Devlin Foltz |
Einstein |
18:17.7 |
| Greg Conte |
Quince Orchard |
18:20.9 |
| Bryson Harris |
Walter Johnson |
18:21.5 |
| Robert Allaway |
Northwest |
18:22.0 |
| Kyle Balderson |
Sherwood |
18:22.0 |
| Nick Gummo |
Northwest |
18:22.3 |
| John DiNardo |
Northwest |
18:22.5 |
| John Ingraham |
Northwest |
18:22.5 |
| Mark Parkhurst |
Blake |
18:26.7 |
| Cedric Dana |
Wootton |
18:29.1 |
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