These rankings and times are based on the statistical individual rankings that have been published on this site for five years. Read about this ranking system to help you understand it. It is a fun and easy way to track and objectively rank a large number of athletes. The actual county championship results may not look anything like this, but the system tends to be reasonably accurate when it comes to statistical models predicting human performance.

The most important thing here is where the runners are ranked relative to one another. The system is not necessarily designed to predict times for a specific meet, but since the point system is based on time (1 second = 2 points), it is possible to predict times. All of the times can collectively be shifted up or down based on course difficulty and conditions, but runners will always be separated by the same amount of time. The history of finish times at the Gaithersburg county course were considered when setting the times.

							Ranking Season Progression
Rk	Name	School	Year		Predicted Time		Pre	wk1	wk2	wk4	wk5	wk6	wk7
1	Chris Miller	Northwest	2011		15:46.1		2	2	2	1	1	1	1
2	Nick Regan	Walter Johnson	2011		15:52.7		4	4	4	2	2	2	2
3	Alex Willett	Walter Johnson	2011		15:57.9		3	3	3	4	4	3	3
4	Jackson Reams	Sherwood	2011		16:04.8		1	1	1	8	3	4	4
5	Kyle Tockman	Sherwood	2011		16:05.5		30	33	9	6	7	6	5
6	Conor Spaulding	Quince Orchard	2011		16:05.8		8	8	6	3	5	5	6
7	Zachary Weinstein	Churchill	2012		16:08.0		10	12	8	7	8	9	7
8	Josh Ellis	Walter Johnson	2012		16:11.9		18	20	21		6	7	9
9	Sam Martin	Richard Montgomery	2011		16:15.4		11	13	11	10	10	10	10
10	Eric Holmstead	Poolesville	2011		16:24.6		7	7	10	12	15	13	11
11	Will Conway	Churchill	2012		16:24.9		6	6	14	15	17	15	12
12	Evan Laratta	Quince Orchard	2012		16:31.2		5	5	5	9	11	11	13
13	Drew Lehner	Quince Orchard	2011		16:36.8			14	13	14	14	14	16
14	Alex Arias	Damascus	2011		16:40.1		15	17	15	17	16	16	17
15	Justin Rheingold	Churchill	2011		16:40.3		16	18	16	18	18	19	18
16	Joshua Trzeciak	Wootton	2013		16:42.9				20	23	25	22	19
17	Dagmawi Abebe	Magruder	2011		16:46.0		24	28	23	19	21	21	20
18	Luke Shannon	Churchill	2012		16:46.3		19	21	25	21	24	24	21
19	Alex Popeck	Sherwood	2012		16:54.3				29	26	32	30	23
20	Trevor Stephens	B-CC	2011		16:54.6				28	25	27	26	24
21	Shane Stepek	Gaithersburg	2011		16:54.8		9	11	17	16	22	27	25
22	Andrew Ceruzzi	Einstein	2011		16:55.5		33	35	27	24	26	25	26
23	Eliot Gerson	B-CC	2011		16:59.5		29	32	51	30	28	29	27
24	Charlie Ramirez	Damascus	2011		17:00.7		20	22	26	28	29	28	28
25	Kenneth Wohl	Wootton	2011		17:00.8		37	39	39	37	37	32	29
26	Robert Brown	Walter Johnson	2011		17:02.0					35	33	33	30
27	Nick Simpson	Einstein	2013		17:06.9		14	16	19	27	30	31	32
28	Nick Adams	Whitman	2012		17:07.1					40	38	37	34
29	Alex Kim	Churchill	2011		17:08.7						35	36	35
30	David Levine	Wootton	2013		17:09.1				36	31	34	38	37
31	Ben Withbroe	Einstein	2013		17:09.8		17	19	31	29	31	35	38
32	Kenny Hunsley	Damascus	2011		17:11.0								40
33	Trever Reed	Gaithersburg	2012		17:12.1				42	32	36	39	42
34	Bobby Sonken	Northwest	2011		17:13.3		25	37	37	39	42	42	43
35	Russ Daley	Clarksburg	2011		17:15.3		26	31	43	41	47	47	44
36	Sushen Thiyagarajan	Churchill	2012		17:15.4				47	49	61	58	45
37	Will Severynse	Wootton	2012		17:15.5								46
38	Ben Crites	Walter Johnson	2013		17:15.9							40	48
39	Steven Goldberg	Whitman	2012		17:16.0		36	38	41	59			49
40	Vik Siberry	Sherwood	2013		17:16.4					51	41	46	50
41	Sean McMahon	Richard Montgomery	2012		17:17.3				38	34	49	44	52
42	Jacob Brennan	Northwest	2011		17:18.2		32	40	53		52	48	53
43	Joey Werble	Poolesville	2013		17:19.4							51	54
44	Jordan Psaltakis	Poolesville	2012		17:19.6								55
45	Luis Gracian	Richard Montgomery	2012		17:21.1								56
46	Scott Sheehan	Walter Johnson	2012		17:21.9		21	23	24	22	19	20	57
47	Mark Montgomery	Richard Montgomery	2012		17:22.2						51	52	58
48	David Hamilton	Richard Montgomery	2012		17:22.4				50	58	46	55	59
49	Alex Hevey	Einstein	2012		17:23.1					50	63	59	60
50	Matt Kogan	Churchill	2012		17:24.7				44	42	43	45	61
51	Jacob Cantor	Richard Montgomery	2011		17:24.8				48		53	56	62
52	Lorenzo Acosta	Damascus	2012		17:26.5		31	34	52	54	54	60	63
53	James Sauro	Walter Johnson	2012		17:27.1					38	39	53	64
54	Philip Catterall	B-CC	2011		17:27.5					53	59	61	66
							Ranking Season Progression
Rk	Name	School	Year		Predicted Time		Pre	wk1	wk2	wk4	wk5	wk6	wk7
1	Anna Ryba	Whitman	2012		18:54.5		2	2	2	2	2	1	1
2	Anna Bosse	Walter Johnson	2011		19:10.7		1	1	1	1	1	2	2
3	Abbey Daley	Clarksburg	2013		19:27.3		4	4	4	3	3	3	3
4	Alexandra Phillips	Whitman	2012		19:28.8			7	6	6	4	5	4
5	Britt Eckerstrom	Northwest	2011		19:29.9		3	3	3	5	6	4	5
6	Camille Bouvet	Walter Johnson	2011		19:45.9		5	5	5	4	5	6	6
7	Ava Farrell	B-CC	2012		19:50.5		6	8	8	7	7	7	7
8	Morgana D'Ottavi	Blair	2014		19:50.7			6	7	8	8	8	8
9	Elena De La Paz	Richard Montgomery	2012		20:09.4			10	9	9	9	9	9
10	Christine DiNardo	Northwest	2011		20:15.0		7	9	10	10	11	10	10
11	Madeline Rico	Wootton	2012		20:32.3		27	37	18	11	12	12	12
12	Charlotte Bourg	Churchill	2012		20:40.0		8	11	11	13	13	16	13
13	Caroline Guiot	Whitman	2012		20:40.7			25	27	23	24	22	14
14	Karen Cohen	Wootton	2012		20:42.0		14	18	30	15	20	20	15
15	Gillian Tosatto	Sherwood	2013		20:45.0				32	22	18	14	16
16	Sarah Sekscienski	Northwest	2011		20:45.6		16	14	14	17	19	15	18
17	Kai Santangelo	Northwest	2011		20:47.1		25	23	26	14	17	17	19
18	Shannon Wagner	Quince Orchard	2011		20:47.8		17	19	29	20	14	18	20
19	Jacqui Young	Clarksburg	2012		20:49.5			24	20	19	15	13	21
20	Claire Cohen	B-CC	2012		20:49.9		32	40	46	27	22	19	22
21	Catherine Panasenkov	Quince Orchard	2013		20:53.7			32	23	25	16	21	23
22	Caroline Elmendorf	Whitman	2013		20:56.2		31	31	37	24	26	24	24
23	Alex Carroll	Damascus	2011		20:58.5		12	17	15	16	25	27	25
24	Laura Nakasaka	B-CC	2013		20:58.6					37	31	25	26
25	Elizabeth Frank	Whitman	2012		21:05.4		18	36	41	34	28	28	27
26	Allison Marella	Damascus	2013		21:06.8				12	18	21	26	28
27	Amanda Tomlinson	Sherwood	2013		21:07.2				34	43	35	29	29
28	Laura Elmendorf	Whitman	2013		21:11.4					30	37	31	31
29	Fatima Resendiz	Richard Montgomery	2011		21:13.5			13	17	29	27	30	32
30	Jackie Weiss	Sherwood	2012		21:13.6				39	52	50	39	33
31	Grace McDonald	Sherwood	2014		21:14.1						46	43	34
32	Caroline Leuba	B-CC	2013		21:14.6					46	33	32	35
33	Chelsie Pennello	Poolesville	2014		21:15.8						36	40	36
34	Moriah Gendelman	Walter Johnson	2011		21:19.2							35	37
35	Cara Bennet	Whitman	2011		21:21.3					41	40	37	38
36	Naomi Sheppard	Northwest	2014		21:21.5					47	49	38	39
37	Hannah Buchek	Blair	2012		21:22.0			34	42	38	43	46	40
38	Megan Gerdes	Poolesville	2012		21:23.9								41
39	Jinhie Skarda	Blair	2013		21:25.9								42
40	Abby Titmas	Richard Montgomery	2013		21:26.4			22	19	26	32	36	43
41	Mary Madden	Paint Branch	2012		21:26.6				33	28	30	34	44
42	Jade Lebrock	Quince Orchard	2011		21:27.9		13	21	35	39	48	48	45
43	Emily Balcombe	Northwest	2012		21:28.0							49	46
44	Kendra Meredith	Northwest	2014		21:28.0							50	47
45	Amanda Cohen	B-CC	2014		21:28.1							51	48
46	Kylee Patton	Damascus	2013		21:28.2		33	41	48	56	54	52	49
47	Harriet Symmington	Whitman	2014		21:29.5						41	41	51
48	Lakayja Alston	Damascus	2012		21:29.8						29	33	53
49	Susan McGrattan	Wootton	2013		21:30.3					36	38	44	54
50	Calley Mayer-Marks	Blair	2014		21:32.0				36	31	42		55
51	Emily Levenson	Wootton	2012		21:32.3					45	47	47	56
52	Zoe Kaplan	Northwest	2014		21:34.2					32	39	53	57
53	Eileen Ser	Northwest	2011		21:37.0							55	58
54	Emma Tolerton	Richard Montgomery	2013		21:37.3		22	29	38	33	44	57	59
55	Paula Rabade	Churchill	2014		21:37.9								60
56	Morgan Kershner	Northwood	2013		21:39.6		23	30	45	53	52	42	61
57	Abby Iacangelo	Sherwood	2011		21:39.7							58	62
58	Lexi Levenson	Wootton	2014		21:39.7					51	56	54	63
59	Samantha Griffith	Quince Orchard	2013		21:42.2							60	64
60	Katie Seevers	Whitman	2012		21:44.6							63	65
61	Casey Mulloy	Gaithersburg	2014		21:45.5						53	65	66
62	Hilary Gelfond	Wootton	2012		21:45.6					44	45	59	67
63	Regina Schreiber	Quince Orchard	2014		21:45.9							66	68

Girls Teams with 5 or more ranked runners:
Whitman	65
Northwest	84
B-CC	128
Sherwood	157
Wootton	178
Quince Orchard	196

Boys Teams with 5 or more ranked runners:
Walter Johnson 77
Churchill 80
Richard Montgomery 190