|
In Maryland, there is great disparity in the strength of the regions. The 4A West is stronger than the 4A East, which is much stronger than the 4A North, which is much stronger than the 4A South. This disparity can be used to predict what will happen when all four regions come together. Plotted below is the performance of runners at last year's state championship. The inbalance between regions becomes very obvious.
Below is a plot of times from the 4A Regional Qualifying Meets this year. Clearly the different courses make it impossible to compare the performances strictly based on time.
If the regions were all equal, I would simply line up the "average runners" on the flat part of the curves and use that as a prediction. But the first plot shows that the regions are clearly unbalanced and therefore I used the strength of the regions as determined by performances at the 2009 state meet and the 2010 region results to come up with a final prediction. The resulting state predictions are plotted below.
This shows that a given runner from the 4A west will always be a certain margin ahead of the corresponding runner from the 4A east, who will always be a certain margin ahead of the correspoonding runner from the 4A north. For example, the prediction says the 20th runner from the 4A west will be a certain margin ahead of the 20th runner from the 4A east, in this case, 39 seconds. The 20th runner from the 4A West is ahead of all but 5 runners from the 4A east (Last year there were 18 4A west runners ahead of the 6th runner from the 4A east).
This method is a good way to get team scores when combining the 4A regions and loosely follows the speed rating methodology used in other parts of the country (most states don't have such disparity between regions). It assumes minimal change from the region to state meet, and therefore it is not a good predictor of individual finishes. I'm going to take out the runners' names to try to take the focus off the individual.
|
|
1 |
|
Walter Johnson |
66 |
|
WEST |
|
2 |
|
Churchill |
90 |
|
WEST |
|
3 |
|
Sherwood |
120 |
|
WEST |
|
4 |
|
Wootton |
169 |
|
WEST |
|
5 |
|
Severna Park |
179 |
|
EAST |
|
6 |
|
Chesapeake |
193 |
|
EAST |
|
7 |
|
Northwest |
217 |
|
WEST |
|
8 |
|
Roosevelt |
220 |
|
SOUTH |
|
9 |
|
Magruder |
233 |
|
WEST |
|
10 |
|
Richard Montgomery |
244 |
|
WEST |
|
11 |
|
Annapolis |
262 |
|
EAST |
|
12 |
|
Urbana |
295 |
|
NORTH |
|
13 |
|
Broadneck |
320 |
|
EAST |
|
14 |
|
Westminster |
338 |
|
NORTH |
|
15 |
|
Leonardtown |
350 |
|
EAST |
|
16 |
|
North Point |
364 |
|
EAST |
|
17 |
|
Dulaney |
398 |
|
NORTH |
|
18 |
|
Bowie |
494 |
|
SOUTH |
|
19 |
|
Thomas Johnson |
511 |
|
NORTH |
|
20 |
|
DuVal |
655 |
|
SOUTH |
|
21 |
|
Oxon Hill |
678 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 1 |
|
1 |
|
Walter Johnson |
16:22.2 |
|
WEST |
| 2 |
|
2 |
|
Walter Johnson |
16:42.7 |
|
WEST |
| 3 |
|
3 |
|
Sherwood |
16:47.7 |
|
WEST |
| 4 |
|
4 |
|
Northwest |
16:48.2 |
|
WEST |
| 5 |
|
Old Mill |
16:51.0 |
|
EAST |
| 6 |
|
5 |
|
Roosevelt |
16:53.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 7 |
|
6 |
|
Magruder |
16:55.3 |
|
WEST |
| 8 |
|
7 |
|
Richard Montgomery |
16:57.5 |
|
WEST |
| 9 |
|
8 |
|
Annapolis |
17:01.0 |
|
EAST |
| 10 |
|
9 |
|
Walter Johnson |
17:02.5 |
|
WEST |
| 11 |
|
10 |
|
Sherwood |
17:09.9 |
|
WEST |
| 12 |
|
11 |
|
Churchill |
17:09.9 |
|
WEST |
| 13 |
|
Great Mills |
17:14.0 |
|
EAST |
| 14 |
|
12 |
|
Churchill |
17:14.5 |
|
WEST |
| 15 |
|
13 |
|
Sherwood |
17:18.3 |
|
WEST |
| 16 |
|
14 |
|
Westminster |
17:18.9 |
|
NORTH |
| 17 |
|
15 |
|
Broadneck |
17:20.0 |
|
EAST |
| 18 |
|
B-CC |
17:20.6 |
|
WEST |
| 19 |
|
16 |
|
Walter Johnson |
17:21.8 |
|
WEST |
| 20 |
|
17 |
|
Wootton |
17:22.1 |
|
WEST |
| 21 |
|
18 |
|
Northwest |
17:24.7 |
|
WEST |
| 22 |
|
19 |
|
Roosevelt |
17:25.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 23 |
|
20 |
|
Churchill |
17:27.9 |
|
WEST |
| 24 |
|
21 |
|
Thomas Johnson |
17:28.6 |
|
NORTH |
| 25 |
|
22 |
|
Churchill |
17:29.0 |
|
WEST |
| 26 |
|
23 |
|
Severna Park |
17:33.0 |
|
EAST |
| 27 |
|
24 |
|
Sherwood |
17:34.1 |
|
WEST |
| 28 |
|
25 |
|
Churchill |
17:34.7 |
|
WEST |
| 29 |
|
26 |
|
Wootton |
17:35.5 |
|
WEST |
| 30 |
|
27 |
|
Urbana |
17:35.9 |
|
NORTH |
| 31 |
|
B-CC |
17:38.0 |
|
WEST |
| 32 |
|
28 |
|
Chesapeake |
17:38.0 |
|
EAST |
| 33 |
|
29 |
|
Chesapeake |
17:40.0 |
|
EAST |
| 34 |
|
30 |
|
Chesapeake |
17:42.0 |
|
EAST |
| 35 |
|
31 |
|
North Point |
17:44.0 |
|
EAST |
| 36 |
|
32 |
|
Severna Park |
17:47.0 |
|
EAST |
| 37 |
|
33 |
|
Magruder |
17:49.1 |
|
WEST |
| 38 |
|
34 |
|
Westminster |
17:49.9 |
|
NORTH |
| 39 |
|
35 |
|
Wootton |
17:53.7 |
|
WEST |
| 40 |
|
Flowers |
17:54.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 41 |
|
Great Mills |
18:00.0 |
|
EAST |
| 42 |
|
36 |
|
Roosevelt |
18:02.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 43 |
|
37 |
|
Severna Park |
18:02.0 |
|
EAST |
| 44 |
|
38 |
|
Walter Johnson |
18:02.1 |
|
WEST |
| 45 |
|
Meade |
18:03.0 |
|
EAST |
| 46 |
|
39 |
|
Northwest |
18:03.5 |
|
WEST |
| 47 |
|
40 |
|
Magruder |
18:04.2 |
|
WEST |
| 48 |
|
41 |
|
Urbana |
18:04.6 |
|
NORTH |
| 49 |
|
42 |
|
Severna Park |
18:05.0 |
|
EAST |
| 50 |
|
43 |
|
Wootton |
18:05.1 |
|
WEST |
| 51 |
|
44 |
|
Richard Montgomery |
18:05.6 |
|
WEST |
| 52 |
|
45 |
|
Severna Park |
18:07.0 |
|
EAST |
| 53 |
|
46 |
|
Severna Park |
18:08.0 |
|
EAST |
| 54 |
|
47 |
|
Leonardtown |
18:09.0 |
|
EAST |
| 55 |
|
48 |
|
Wootton |
18:09.8 |
|
WEST |
| 56 |
|
49 |
|
Broadneck |
18:10.0 |
|
EAST |
| 57 |
|
50 |
|
Chesapeake |
18:12.0 |
|
EAST |
| 58 |
|
51 |
|
Urbana |
18:13.4 |
|
NORTH |
| 59 |
|
52 |
|
Leonardtown |
18:14.0 |
|
EAST |
| 60 |
|
Arundel |
18:15.0 |
|
EAST |
| 61 |
|
53 |
|
Walter Johnson |
18:15.9 |
|
WEST |
| 62 |
|
54 |
|
Annapolis |
18:17.0 |
|
EAST |
| 63 |
|
55 |
|
North Point |
18:18.0 |
|
EAST |
| 64 |
|
56 |
|
Chesapeake |
18:20.0 |
|
EAST |
| 65 |
|
57 |
|
Northwest |
18:20.2 |
|
WEST |
| 66 |
|
58 |
|
Churchill |
18:20.3 |
|
WEST |
| 67 |
|
59 |
|
Churchill |
18:22.0 |
|
WEST |
| 68 |
|
60 |
|
Bowie |
18:24.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 69 |
|
61 |
|
Annapolis |
18:25.0 |
|
EAST |
| 70 |
|
62 |
|
Leonardtown |
18:27.0 |
|
EAST |
| 71 |
|
63 |
|
Richard Montgomery |
18:27.0 |
|
WEST |
| 72 |
|
64 |
|
Richard Montgomery |
18:27.4 |
|
WEST |
| 73 |
|
65 |
|
Westminster |
18:27.9 |
|
NORTH |
| 74 |
|
66 |
|
Richard Montgomery |
18:29.3 |
|
WEST |
| 75 |
|
67 |
|
Richard Montgomery |
18:30.8 |
|
WEST |
| 76 |
|
Perry Hall |
18:31.0 |
|
NORTH |
| 77 |
|
68 |
|
Annapolis |
18:31.0 |
|
EAST |
| 78 |
|
69 |
|
Severna Park |
18:33.0 |
|
EAST |
| 79 |
|
70 |
|
Sherwood |
18:36.0 |
|
WEST |
| 80 |
|
71 |
|
Annapolis |
18:36.0 |
|
EAST |
| 81 |
|
72 |
|
Roosevelt |
18:36.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 82 |
|
73 |
|
North Point |
18:38.0 |
|
EAST |
| 83 |
|
74 |
|
Dulaney |
18:38.0 |
|
NORTH |
| 84 |
|
75 |
|
Magruder |
18:39.3 |
|
WEST |
| 85 |
|
76 |
|
Dulaney |
18:40.5 |
|
NORTH |
| 86 |
|
77 |
|
Dulaney |
18:41.5 |
|
NORTH |
| 87 |
|
78 |
|
Dulaney |
18:41.9 |
|
NORTH |
| 88 |
|
79 |
|
Magruder |
18:42.8 |
|
WEST |
| 89 |
|
80 |
|
Sherwood |
18:43.4 |
|
WEST |
| 90 |
|
81 |
|
Bowie |
18:46.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 91 |
|
82 |
|
Wootton |
18:47.8 |
|
WEST |
| 92 |
|
83 |
|
Broadneck |
18:50.0 |
|
EAST |
| 93 |
|
84 |
|
Broadneck |
18:51.0 |
|
EAST |
| 94 |
|
85 |
|
Urbana |
18:53.9 |
|
NORTH |
| 95 |
|
86 |
|
Severna Park |
18:55.0 |
|
EAST |
| 96 |
|
87 |
|
Chesapeake |
18:57.0 |
|
EAST |
| 97 |
|
88 |
|
Roosevelt |
18:58.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 98 |
|
89 |
|
Broadneck |
18:59.0 |
|
EAST |
| 99 |
|
90 |
|
Richard Montgomery |
19:00.3 |
|
WEST |
| 100 |
|
91 |
|
Urbana |
19:04.8 |
|
NORTH |
| 101 |
|
92 |
|
Leonardtown |
19:07.0 |
|
EAST |
| 102 |
|
93 |
|
Dulaney |
19:08.4 |
|
NORTH |
| 103 |
|
94 |
|
Walter Johnson |
19:09.5 |
|
WEST |
| 104 |
|
95 |
|
Magruder |
19:12.9 |
|
WEST |
| 105 |
|
96 |
|
North Point |
19:13.0 |
|
EAST |
| 106 |
|
97 |
|
Leonardtown |
19:15.0 |
|
EAST |
| 107 |
|
98 |
|
Dulaney |
19:16.6 |
|
NORTH |
| 108 |
|
99 |
|
Northwest |
19:16.9 |
|
WEST |
| 109 |
|
100 |
|
Sherwood |
19:17.0 |
|
WEST |
| 110 |
|
101 |
|
Bowie |
19:19.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 111 |
|
102 |
|
Wootton |
19:21.6 |
|
WEST |
| 112 |
|
103 |
|
Urbana |
19:22.9 |
|
NORTH |
| 113 |
|
104 |
|
Broadneck |
19:23.0 |
|
EAST |
| 114 |
|
105 |
|
Urbana |
19:27.4 |
|
NORTH |
| 115 |
|
106 |
|
Magruder |
19:27.4 |
|
WEST |
| 116 |
|
107 |
|
Northwest |
19:30.9 |
|
WEST |
| 117 |
|
108 |
|
DuVal |
19:31.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 118 |
|
109 |
|
North Point |
19:34.0 |
|
EAST |
| 119 |
|
110 |
|
Annapolis |
19:36.0 |
|
EAST |
| 120 |
|
111 |
|
Northwest |
19:37.4 |
|
WEST |
| 121 |
|
112 |
|
Westminster |
19:38.0 |
|
NORTH |
| 122 |
|
113 |
|
Westminster |
19:38.4 |
|
NORTH |
| 123 |
|
114 |
|
Bowie |
19:40.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 124 |
|
115 |
|
Thomas Johnson |
19:40.4 |
|
NORTH |
| 125 |
|
116 |
|
Roosevelt |
19:42.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 126 |
|
117 |
|
Westminster |
19:43.4 |
|
NORTH |
| 127 |
|
118 |
|
Broadneck |
19:49.0 |
|
EAST |
| 128 |
|
119 |
|
Chesapeake |
19:51.0 |
|
EAST |
| 129 |
|
120 |
|
Thomas Johnson |
19:51.9 |
|
NORTH |
| 130 |
|
121 |
|
Leonardtown |
19:53.0 |
|
EAST |
| 131 |
|
122 |
|
Leonardtown |
19:58.0 |
|
EAST |
| 132 |
|
123 |
|
North Point |
20:04.0 |
|
EAST |
| 133 |
|
124 |
|
Dulaney |
20:06.8 |
|
NORTH |
| 134 |
|
125 |
|
North Point |
20:08.0 |
|
EAST |
| 135 |
|
126 |
|
Annapolis |
20:10.0 |
|
EAST |
| 136 |
|
127 |
|
Thomas Johnson |
20:14.3 |
|
NORTH |
| 137 |
|
128 |
|
Thomas Johnson |
20:19.1 |
|
NORTH |
| 138 |
|
Flowers |
20:28.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 139 |
|
129 |
|
Oxon Hill |
20:39.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 140 |
|
130 |
|
Thomas Johnson |
20:42.8 |
|
NORTH |
| 141 |
|
131 |
|
Roosevelt |
20:49.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 142 |
|
132 |
|
DuVal |
21:07.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 143 |
|
133 |
|
DuVal |
21:09.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 144 |
|
134 |
|
Oxon Hill |
21:09.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 145 |
|
135 |
|
Oxon Hill |
21:12.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 146 |
|
136 |
|
Thomas Johnson |
21:18.8 |
|
NORTH |
| 147 |
|
137 |
|
Westminster |
21:52.6 |
|
NORTH |
| 148 |
|
138 |
|
Bowie |
22:20.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 149 |
|
139 |
|
Oxon Hill |
23:08.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 150 |
|
140 |
|
DuVal |
23:08.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 151 |
|
141 |
|
Oxon Hill |
23:12.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 152 |
|
142 |
|
DuVal |
23:38.5 |
|
SOUTH |
| 153 |
|
143 |
|
DuVal |
23:48.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 154 |
|
144 |
|
DuVal |
23:50.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 155 |
|
145 |
|
Oxon Hill |
23:58.0 |
|
SOUTH |
| 156 |
|
146 |
|
Oxon Hill |
24:08.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The same methodology was applied to the 4A girls.
This method is a good way to get team scores when combining the 4A regions and loosely follows the speed rating methodology used in other parts of the country (most states don't have such disparity between regions). It assumes minimal change from the region to state meet, and therefore it is not a good predictor of individual finishes. I'm going to take out the runners' names to try to take the focus off the individual.
Before jumping all over this, consider the following:
1. Northwest will beat Whitman if both teams run like they ran at the regional meet. One point separated the two teams and the gap between Whitman's 4th and 5th runner will hurt more in a larger race like the state championship.
2. The model assumes all runners competed to the best of their ability at the regional meets. The girls in the 4A West certainly competed to the best of their ability, but if teams in other regions such as Severna Park held back or held runners out in the regional meet, then the model is no good. If Severna Park was competing to the best of their ability, the stats suggest they may not be the favorite.
|
|
1 |
|
Northwest |
|
93 |
|
WEST |
|
|
2 |
|
Whitman |
|
100 |
|
WEST |
|
|
3 |
|
Severna Park |
|
101 |
|
EAST |
|
|
4 |
|
Broadneck |
|
136 |
|
EAST |
|
|
5 |
|
Thomas Johnson |
|
145 |
|
NORTH |
|
|
6 |
|
Dulaney |
|
149 |
|
NORTH |
|
|
7 |
|
Urbana |
|
191 |
|
NORTH |
|
|
8 |
|
B-CC |
|
234 |
|
WEST |
|
|
9 |
|
Walter Johnson |
|
252 |
|
WEST |
|
|
10 |
|
Sherwood |
|
273 |
|
WEST |
|
|
11 |
|
Leonardtown |
|
282 |
|
EAST |
|
|
12 |
|
Wootton |
|
289 |
|
WEST |
|
|
13 |
|
Chesapeake |
|
342 |
|
EAST |
|
|
14 |
|
South River |
|
344 |
|
EAST |
|
|
15 |
|
Roosevelt |
|
386 |
|
SOUTH |
|
|
16 |
|
Richard Montgomery |
|
400 |
|
WEST |
|
|
17 |
|
Westminster |
|
425 |
|
NORTH |
|
|
18 |
|
Flowers |
|
538 |
|
SOUTH |
|
|
19 |
|
Wise |
|
599 |
|
SOUTH |
|
|
| 1 |
|
1 |
|
Whitman |
|
19:20.9 |
|
WEST |
|
| 2 |
|
2 |
|
Walter Johnson |
|
19:46.1 |
|
WEST |
|
| 3 |
|
3 |
|
Roosevelt |
|
19:49.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 4 |
|
4 |
|
Thomas Johnson |
|
19:51.4 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 5 |
|
5 |
|
Walter Johnson |
|
20:10.7 |
|
WEST |
|
| 6 |
|
6 |
|
Whitman |
|
20:16.1 |
|
WEST |
|
| 7 |
|
7 |
|
Thomas Johnson |
|
20:33.4 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 8 |
|
Bowie |
|
20:43.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 9 |
|
8 |
|
Northwest |
|
20:50.0 |
|
WEST |
|
| 10 |
|
9 |
|
B-CC |
|
20:50.3 |
|
WEST |
|
| 11 |
|
10 |
|
Thomas Johnson |
|
20:53.5 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 12 |
|
11 |
|
Urbana |
|
20:57.3 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 13 |
|
12 |
|
Broadneck |
|
21:14.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 14 |
|
13 |
|
Severna Park |
|
21:17.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 15 |
|
14 |
|
Whitman |
|
21:20.1 |
|
WEST |
|
| 16 |
|
15 |
|
Severna Park |
|
21:23.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 17 |
|
16 |
|
Broadneck |
|
21:25.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 18 |
|
17 |
|
Broadneck |
|
21:27.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 19 |
|
North Point |
|
21:34.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 20 |
|
Blair |
|
21:34.7 |
|
WEST |
|
| 21 |
|
18 |
|
Northwest |
|
21:36.4 |
|
WEST |
|
| 22 |
|
19 |
|
Northwest |
|
21:36.5 |
|
WEST |
|
| 23 |
|
20 |
|
Severna Park |
|
21:37.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 24 |
|
21 |
|
Northwest |
|
21:37.1 |
|
WEST |
|
| 25 |
|
22 |
|
Whitman |
|
21:37.7 |
|
WEST |
|
| 26 |
|
23 |
|
Severna Park |
|
21:39.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 27 |
|
24 |
|
Dulaney |
|
21:40.3 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 28 |
|
25 |
|
Dulaney |
|
21:43.1 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 29 |
|
26 |
|
Chesapeake |
|
21:44.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 30 |
|
27 |
|
Northwest |
|
21:52.0 |
|
WEST |
|
| 31 |
|
28 |
|
Broadneck |
|
21:52.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 32 |
|
29 |
|
Dulaney |
|
21:53.4 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 33 |
|
30 |
|
Severna Park |
|
21:54.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 34 |
|
31 |
|
Urbana |
|
21:58.4 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 35 |
|
North County |
|
22:04.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 36 |
|
Arundel |
|
22:06.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 37 |
|
32 |
|
Severna Park |
|
22:07.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 38 |
|
33 |
|
Wootton |
|
22:10.6 |
|
WEST |
|
| 39 |
|
34 |
|
Richard Montgomery |
|
22:10.8 |
|
WEST |
|
| 40 |
|
35 |
|
Dulaney |
|
22:12.0 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 41 |
|
36 |
|
Dulaney |
|
22:12.2 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 42 |
|
37 |
|
Sherwood |
|
22:13.2 |
|
WEST |
|
| 43 |
|
38 |
|
Sherwood |
|
22:17.8 |
|
WEST |
|
| 44 |
|
39 |
|
Urbana |
|
22:20.4 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 45 |
|
40 |
|
Sherwood |
|
22:20.7 |
|
WEST |
|
| 46 |
|
41 |
|
Wootton |
|
22:21.7 |
|
WEST |
|
| 47 |
|
42 |
|
Dulaney |
|
22:22.0 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 48 |
|
43 |
|
B-CC |
|
22:23.0 |
|
WEST |
|
| 49 |
|
44 |
|
Dulaney |
|
22:23.5 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 50 |
|
45 |
|
Severna Park |
|
22:25.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 51 |
|
46 |
|
Westminster |
|
22:26.8 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 52 |
|
47 |
|
B-CC |
|
22:27.8 |
|
WEST |
|
| 53 |
|
48 |
|
South River |
|
22:28.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 54 |
|
49 |
|
South River |
|
22:29.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 55 |
|
50 |
|
Thomas Johnson |
|
22:33.1 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 56 |
|
51 |
|
Leonardtown |
|
22:35.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 57 |
|
52 |
|
Leonardtown |
|
22:37.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 58 |
|
53 |
|
B-CC |
|
22:38.7 |
|
WEST |
|
| 59 |
|
54 |
|
Urbana |
|
22:41.6 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 60 |
|
55 |
|
Leonardtown |
|
22:43.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 61 |
|
56 |
|
Urbana |
|
22:52.5 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 62 |
|
57 |
|
Whitman |
|
22:53.1 |
|
WEST |
|
| 63 |
|
58 |
|
Urbana |
|
22:57.0 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 64 |
|
59 |
|
Leonardtown |
|
22:58.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 65 |
|
60 |
|
Urbana |
|
23:00.2 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 66 |
|
61 |
|
Wootton |
|
23:04.9 |
|
WEST |
|
| 67 |
|
62 |
|
Flowers |
|
23:05.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 68 |
|
63 |
|
Broadneck |
|
23:06.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 69 |
|
64 |
|
Walter Johnson |
|
23:08.7 |
|
WEST |
|
| 70 |
|
65 |
|
Leonardtown |
|
23:10.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 71 |
|
66 |
|
Whitman |
|
23:12.7 |
|
WEST |
|
| 72 |
|
67 |
|
Sherwood |
|
23:13.0 |
|
WEST |
|
| 73 |
|
68 |
|
Whitman |
|
23:13.3 |
|
WEST |
|
| 74 |
|
69 |
|
Chesapeake |
|
23:15.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 75 |
|
70 |
|
Wootton |
|
23:15.7 |
|
WEST |
|
| 76 |
|
71 |
|
Broadneck |
|
23:17.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 77 |
|
72 |
|
Roosevelt |
|
23:20.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 78 |
|
73 |
|
Richard Montgomery |
|
23:23.3 |
|
WEST |
|
| 79 |
|
74 |
|
Thomas Johnson |
|
23:26.0 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 80 |
|
75 |
|
Chesapeake |
|
23:27.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 81 |
|
76 |
|
Chesapeake |
|
23:29.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 82 |
|
77 |
|
Thomas Johnson |
|
23:34.1 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 83 |
|
78 |
|
South River |
|
23:36.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 84 |
|
79 |
|
Broadneck |
|
23:37.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 85 |
|
80 |
|
South River |
|
23:40.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 86 |
|
81 |
|
Westminster |
|
23:41.0 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 87 |
|
82 |
|
B-CC |
|
23:42.9 |
|
WEST |
|
| 88 |
|
83 |
|
Northwest |
|
23:45.6 |
|
WEST |
|
| 89 |
|
84 |
|
Wootton |
|
23:45.9 |
|
WEST |
|
| 90 |
|
85 |
|
Leonardtown |
|
23:46.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 91 |
|
86 |
|
Northwest |
|
23:48.3 |
|
WEST |
|
| 92 |
|
87 |
|
Wootton |
|
23:50.4 |
|
WEST |
|
| 93 |
|
88 |
|
Walter Johnson |
|
23:51.8 |
|
WEST |
|
| 94 |
|
89 |
|
South River |
|
23:53.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 95 |
|
90 |
|
Westminster |
|
23:57.2 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 96 |
|
Suitland |
|
24:00.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 97 |
|
91 |
|
Sherwood |
|
24:01.5 |
|
WEST |
|
| 98 |
|
92 |
|
Thomas Johnson |
|
24:02.4 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 99 |
|
93 |
|
Walter Johnson |
|
24:03.6 |
|
WEST |
|
| 100 |
|
94 |
|
Richard Montgomery |
|
24:06.1 |
|
WEST |
|
| 101 |
|
95 |
|
South River |
|
24:10.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 102 |
|
96 |
|
Chesapeake |
|
24:12.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 103 |
|
97 |
|
South River |
|
24:15.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 104 |
|
98 |
|
Richard Montgomery |
|
24:15.1 |
|
WEST |
|
| 105 |
|
99 |
|
Westminster |
|
24:18.6 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 106 |
|
100 |
|
Walter Johnson |
|
24:19.8 |
|
WEST |
|
| 107 |
|
101 |
|
Richard Montgomery |
|
24:23.6 |
|
WEST |
|
| 108 |
|
102 |
|
Roosevelt |
|
24:26.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 109 |
|
Parkdale |
|
24:27.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 110 |
|
103 |
|
B-CC |
|
24:37.7 |
|
WEST |
|
| 111 |
|
104 |
|
Roosevelt |
|
24:45.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 112 |
|
105 |
|
Roosevelt |
|
24:45.5 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 113 |
|
106 |
|
Wise |
|
24:52.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 114 |
|
Bowie |
|
24:57.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 115 |
|
107 |
|
Roosevelt |
|
25:04.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 116 |
|
Northwestern |
|
25:08.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 117 |
|
108 |
|
B-CC |
|
25:17.5 |
|
WEST |
|
| 118 |
|
109 |
|
Westminster |
|
25:17.6 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 119 |
|
110 |
|
Flowers |
|
25:35.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 120 |
|
111 |
|
Wootton |
|
25:41.9 |
|
WEST |
|
| 121 |
|
112 |
|
Chesapeake |
|
25:59.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 122 |
|
113 |
|
Westminster |
|
26:01.3 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 123 |
|
114 |
|
Westminster |
|
26:02.4 |
|
NORTH |
|
| 124 |
|
115 |
|
Richard Montgomery |
|
26:04.2 |
|
WEST |
|
| 125 |
|
116 |
|
Chesapeake |
|
26:05.0 |
|
EAST |
|
| 126 |
|
117 |
|
Flowers |
|
26:09.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 127 |
|
118 |
|
Wise |
|
26:15.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 128 |
|
119 |
|
Walter Johnson |
|
26:33.0 |
|
WEST |
|
| 129 |
|
120 |
|
Sherwood |
|
26:44.4 |
|
WEST |
|
| 130 |
|
121 |
|
Wise |
|
26:57.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 132 |
|
122 |
|
Flowers |
|
27:22.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 133 |
|
123 |
|
Roosevelt |
|
27:37.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 134 |
|
124 |
|
Richard Montgomery |
|
28:25.3 |
|
WEST |
|
| 135 |
|
125 |
|
Sherwood |
|
28:52.0 |
|
WEST |
|
| 136 |
|
126 |
|
Wise |
|
31:23.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 137 |
|
127 |
|
Flowers |
|
31:34.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 138 |
|
128 |
|
Wise |
|
33:37.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 139 |
|
129 |
|
Wise |
|
34:35.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
| 140 |
|
130 |
|
Wise |
|
34:52.0 |
|
SOUTH |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
